Science
Study Title
Case-Fatality Risk Estimates for COVID-19 Calculated by Using a Lag Time for Fatality
Publication
Emerging Infectious Diseases
Author(s)
Nick Wilson, Amanda Kvalsvig, Lucy Telfar Barnard, and Michael G. Baker
Abstract
We estimated the case-fatality risk for 2019 novel coronavirus disease cases in China (3.5%); China, excluding Hubei Province (0.8%); 82 countries, territories, and areas (4.2%); and on a cruise ship (0.6%). Lower estimates might be closest to the true value, but a broad range of 0.25%–3.0% probably should be considered.
Date
March 13, 2020
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